Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.002459 0.002618 0.002788 0.002985 0.003206 0.003451 0.003743
2024-10-27 0.002206 0.002421 0.002663 0.002962 0.003323 0.003755 0.004322
2024-11-03 0.001941 0.002169 0.002435 0.002776 0.003209 0.003756 0.004527
2024-11-10 0.001839 0.002092 0.002397 0.002803 0.003347 0.004079 0.005203
2024-11-17 0.001768 0.002042 0.002383 0.002853 0.003513 0.004460 0.006048
2024-11-24 0.001680 0.001962 0.002321 0.002830 0.003570 0.004687 0.006713
2024-12-01 0.001635 0.001933 0.002319 0.002884 0.003742 0.005116 0.007864
2024-12-08 0.001574 0.001876 0.002276 0.002873 0.003810 0.005385 0.008812
2024-12-15 0.001507 0.001808 0.002211 0.002824 0.003810 0.005534 0.009564
2024-12-22 0.001482 0.001794 0.002220 0.002883 0.003992 0.006051 0.011475
2024-12-29 0.001454 0.001775 0.002220 0.002929 0.004156 0.006571 0.013804
2025-01-05 0.001406 0.001724 0.002169 0.002889 0.004162 0.006762 0.015269
2025-01-12 0.001338 0.001645 0.002078 0.002783 0.004045 0.006685 0.015834
2025-01-19 0.001301 0.001609 0.002048 0.002775 0.004115 0.007061 0.018760
2025-01-26 0.001226 0.001517 0.001930 0.002614 0.003873 0.006635 0.017540
2025-02-02 0.001205 0.001500 0.001924 0.002641 0.004001 0.007168 0.022114
2025-02-09 0.001190 0.001490 0.001930 0.002687 0.004173 0.007880 0.030206
2025-02-16 0.001160 0.001459 0.001898 0.002666 0.004205 0.008210 0.037116
2025-02-23 0.001148 0.001452 0.001907 0.002715 0.004394 0.009107 0.059545
2025-03-02 0.001124 0.001427 0.001883 0.002705 0.004449 0.009595 0.087379
2025-03-09 0.001094 0.001392 0.001843 0.002661 0.004421 0.009776 0.116562
2025-03-16 0.001086 0.001390 0.001855 0.002715 0.004632 0.010992 0.531644
2025-03-23 0.001075 0.001383 0.001860 0.002756 0.004819 0.012276 NaN